Machine Learning models for High-Accuracy Prediction of Energy Dissipation Through Gabion Sills Downstream of Spillways

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 Department of Civil Engineering, Ar. C., Islamic Azad University, Arak, Iran.

2 Department of Civil Engineering Ramh. C., Islamic AzadUniversity,Ramhormoz, Iran.

3 Department of Civil Engineering, Jasb. C., Islamic Azad University, Jasb, Iran.

چکیده
Objective: the objective of this paper is to develop and compare three MLMs, SVR, GEP and ANN- for the high-accuracy prediction of energy dissipation downstream of gabion sills in spillways. Through dimensional analysis and sensitivity evaluation using the Γ-test, the most influential hydraulic and geometric parameters are identified. The performance of each model is rigorously assessed using statistical metrics to determine their predictive reliability and accuracy, with the aim of identifying the most effective computational approach for optimizing energy dissipation in gabion-structured spillway systems.
Material and Methods:  experimental data from a lab flume was used. Dimensional analysis identified key parameters affecting energy dissipation. Sensitivity analysis via the Gamma Test selected the most influential inputs. These were used to train and compare three machine learning models: SVR, GEP, and ANN.
Results and Discussion: the GEP model demonstrated superior performance, achieving the highest R² (0.936) and lowest errors (RMSE=0.003) in predicting energy dissipation. It outperformed both ANN and SVR. Sensitivity analysis identified four key hydraulic parameters as the most influential inputs.
Conclusions: the study conclusively found the Gene Expression Programming (GEP) model to be the most accurate and reliable for predicting energy dissipation over gabion sills, significantly outperforming ANN and SVR. The four key hydraulic parameters identified were crucial for model success, demonstrating the effectiveness of this machine learning approach.

کلیدواژه‌ها


عنوان مقاله English

Machine Learning models for High-Accuracy Prediction of Energy Dissipation Through Gabion Sills Downstream of Spillways

نویسندگان English

Shahram Shakeri yousefi 1
Mohsen Najarchi 1
Mehdi Fuladipanah 2
Mahmood Rabani Bidgoli 3
1 Department of Civil Engineering, Ar. C., Islamic Azad University, Arak, Iran.
2 Department of Civil Engineering Ramh. C., Islamic AzadUniversity,Ramhormoz, Iran.
3 Department of Civil Engineering, Jasb. C., Islamic Azad University, Jasb, Iran.
چکیده English

This study evaluates the energy dissipation efficiency of gabion structures positioned downstream of spillways by employing three machine learning models (MLMs): Support Vector Regression (SVR), Gene Expression Programming (GEP), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Utilizing 155 laboratory-derived datasets, the models were trained (70%) and tested (30%) to predict energy dissipation performance under varying hydraulic conditions. GEP emerged as the most accurate model, achieving exceptional training-phase metrics (RMSE=0.00308, MAE=0.00250, R²=0.93648), closely followed by ANN, while SVR lagged in predictive capability. During testing, GEP maintained its superiority, reinforcing its robustness, with ANN remaining competitive and SVR continuing to underperform. Sensitivity analysis via the Γ-test identified dimensionless parameters- relative tailwater depth ("y" _"2" /"y" _"1" ), gabion height-to-upstream flow depth ratio ("h" /"y" _"1" ), aggregate size-to-upstream flow depth ratio ("d" /"y" _"1" ), inflow Froude number (Fr₁)- as critical drivers of energy dissipation. These findings underscore the efficacy of evolutionary algorithms like GEP in capturing complex hydraulic interactions, attributed to their ability to evolve interpretable mathematical expressions. ANN, though less interpretable, proved a reliable alternative, while SVR’s limitations in handling nonlinear relationships were evident. The study highlights the potential of MLMs, particularly GEP, to enhance spillway design by optimizing energy dissipation, reducing erosion risks, and improving infrastructure resilience. Future work could explore hybrid models, larger datasets, and field validations to refine and broaden applicability in hydraulic engineering practice.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Artificial Intelligence
Energy Loss
Sensitivity Analysis
Performance Assessment
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